Bucs Fantasy Brief: Is it Bad to Have Two WRs from the Same Team?

During the typical fantasy football draft, there is a surge in the second, third and fourth rounds to grab the best wide receivers in the NFL. Owners stress the importance of drafting a receiver who is number one on his team and likely to get them the most points throughout the year.

But, there is somewhat of a stigma attached to owning the second receiver on that same NFL team as well. Many fantasy owners ask how it could possibly benefit them to have two players who are essentially competing for catches, assuming that on any given week, one is going to trump the other, leaving their second man obsolete.

A quick look at the past, though, will tell you this is not always the case. Just last year, you’d have been dancing with the fantasy trophy if you had Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks from the Giants on your squad. The 2010 season saw the emergence of Pierre Garcon teaming up with Reggie Wayne in Indianapolis. And it is hard to forget the fantasy numbers put up in 2009 by New England’s pair of Randy Moss and Wes Welker or 2008’s Cardinals duo of Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin.

But even with the lessons from the past, very few fantasy teams own the number one and two receivers from any given NFL team. Now in the middle of the season, it might be time at looking to tap into that market however. Continue reading

Bucs Fantasy Brief: Where Would Doug Martin Fall in Fantasy Redraft?

It didn’t take much thought to decide what the topic of this Fantasy Brief should be. When any NFL player puts up more than 35 fantasy points, it’s generally a big deal. In fact, this season only two people have done it. In Week Six, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers posted a season-high 36 fantasy points, a number that got a lot of fantasy owners the W.

The only other player to break 35 also climbed above 40. And 45. And 50. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Doug Martin didn’t stop until he hit 51 fantasy points in standard leagues. That total is tied for the fourth highest single-game fantasy football score since 1970. There are only 27 running backs in the NFL that have more than 51 points this entire season.

Doug Martin has posted the highest weekly fantasy points total over the last two, with 83. The next highest scorer in those two weeks is Adrian Peterson with 47.

We should, however, take into account that over the past two weeks alone, Martin has posted 75% of his total touchdowns, 49% of his rushing yards and 57% of his total fantasy points. While he has essentially handed his fantasy owners two straight wins, we can plainly see that his stellar last two weeks are moderately set off by a more “down to earth” first six.

Still though, Martin has pushed his way to being fantasy’s highest scoring non-QB. So, if we were to redraft today, where would Doug Martin fall? In 10-team leagues, in the month of August, Martin’s average draft position fell anywhere from the late third to the late fourth, making him say, the fifth pick in the fourth round, 35th overall. We can pretty safely say that he would be taken before that.

Nine weeks into the season, one can make the case that Martin could be drafted as a top-five fantasy running back, putting him solidly in the first round. Arian Foster should fall number one. Peterson, like Martin, would jump, likely falling at number two. The third pick would belong to someone looking to get an early QB advantage, taking Aaron Rodgers.

This is where Martin would begin to enter the conversation in most leagues. Also competing for the spot; fellow RBs Ray Rice and Marshawn Lynch and rookie QB Robert Griffin III.

While Rice and Lynch are both 29+ points behind Martin, they have the advantage of game-to-game consistency and, most of all, experience. Doug Martin has a few things working against him. First, Martin is without his two Pro Bowl starting guards, Davin Joseph and Carl Nicks. Second: the rookie wall. Martin’s number of carries continues to grow, and many NFL rookies have a hard time adjusting to the increase of games in a season versus their college days. And with well over half of his points coming in two weeks, we can not safely assume that it is a new norm.

Griffin III also enters the conversation, but there is strength at the QB position. Drew Brees is just eight points behind RGIII. Tom Brady and Peyton Manning are both within 21 points. Compare that to the 29-point fantasy-point gap between Doug Martin and the next highest undrafted running back.

All things considered, the fourth- and fifth overall picks should belong to running backs with more proven track records, placing Ray Rice at number four and Marshawn Lynch at five. Consistency and a recent surge have QB Drew Brees falling at number six before it is time to consider the two rookies: Martin and RGIII.

Chalk it up to optimism or the aforementioned gap in points, but this fantasy writer would be announcing, “With the seventh pick in the 2012 mid-season fantasy football draft, we select Doug Martin, running back, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.”

Bucs Fantasy Brief: Which Bucs Are Fantasy Trade Bait?

The NFL trade deadline is today at 4 PM. So, to get in the spirit of things, let’s talk fantasy football trades—more specifically, Buccaneers that might be worth putting on the trading block (or seeking out in a trade). Taking advantage of their points scored in recent weeks could improve your team at other positions in the long run.

Since Week Four, many Buccaneers have been making waves in fantasy leagues. With each 300+ yard passing game, 100+ rushing game, and receiving touchdown, the Buccaneers pile on more and more value. But with the overwhelming statistics that fill fantasy football leagues each and every week, there is a good chance that some of these Bucs don’t even make your starting lineup, leaving valuable fantasy points on your bench. So, in many cases, the best way to leverage the value of these players is by actually shipping them to someone else. Continue reading

Bucs Fantasy Brief: With Offense Picking Up, Are There Any Fantasy Defensive Standouts?

The world of IDP (Individual Defensive Player) fantasy football is one of mystery to many fantasy regulars, but is gaining a bit of popularity year after year. Ready for a more intense challenge, the bravest of fantasy owners enter the IDP arena; the results can often be less than favorable.

But midway through the season, patterns start to form and players start to emerge, and every so often, a wise move can be made to capitalize and take control of the IDP monster. The Buccaneers, despite some inconsistencies in their team defense fantasy statistics, actually put forth quite a few IDP players that should be owned across the board. Continue reading

Bucs Fantasy Brief: Has Freeman Made Himself a Legit Fantasy Starter?

Before the Bucs’ Week Five Bye, Josh Freeman’s highest fantasy points total came in his 243 yard, two touchdown, two interception performance in New York.  It was good for the 21st highest QB fantasy point total that week.

Fast forward to Week Six when Freeman and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosted the Kansas City Chiefs. He posted his first 300+-yard game of the year and added three touchdowns. His 23-fantasy point week was 10 points better than his previous high.

Then, this past Sunday, Freeman’s passing statistics improved once again. He rocketed to 28 points, second most in the NFL that week, on a 420-yard, three-touchdown performance.

In those two games, he totaled 51 fantasy points, nine more than he accumulated in the first four games of the season combined. In fact, in the two games since the Tampa Bay bye week, only two quarterbacks have more fantasy points than Freeman: Aaron Rodgers of Green Bay and Robert Griffin III of Washington.

If the question is whether or not Freeman has proven that he should be owned in more than 69.3% of leagues, the answer is, “Yes.”  Continue reading

Buccaneer Fantasy Brief: Has Mike Williams Re-Emerged as a Weekly Must-Start?

Is Dez Bryant always in your starting lineup? What about Andre Johnson? Brandon Lloyd? Antonio Brown? Steve Smith, maybe?

If you answered yes any of these questions, then I pose another to you: What do all of these players have in common?

Answer: They all have fewer fantasy points this season than Buccaneer WR Mike Williams.

As a matter of fact, Williams is tied with Miles Austin, Julio Jones, Eric Decker and Larry Fitzgerald with 9.8 fantasy points per game (standard), good for 16th at the wide receiver position. Yet, of every name I have listed so far, Williams is the only one who is not owned in 100% of all fantasy leagues. He is owned in 54%.

So now the question becomes: “Should a player tied for 16th in the NFL in points make your fantasy starting lineup?” I simply answer, “Yes, yes he should.” Continue reading

Williams Off to Another Hot Start

Fantasy football players are quickly discovering that their mid-round investment in new Buccaneers receiver Vincent Jackson.  In Yahoo.com leagues, Jackson was drafted at an average spot of 60.2 (end of fifth round in a 12-team league), 25th among all receivers, but he’s currently ranked 14th among receivers in scoring in standard formats.

The real draft-day bargain, however, may be Jackson’s fellow Buccaneer starter, Mike Williams – especially for those who are getting Williams into their lineups early.  The third-year receiver was drafted, on average, in the middle of the 10th round, and he’s scored more fantasy points so far than the likes of A.J. Green, Pierre Garcon, Jordy Nelson, Antonio Brown, Michael Crabtree and Anquan Boldin.

The key for Williams is his continued success in finding the end zone, particularly in the season’s first month.  Continue reading