
As Head Coach Greg Schiano pointed out on Monday, if you took a certain cross-section of the statistics from Sunday’s game at Raymond James Stadium, you would probably think the Buccaneers defeated the visiting Eagles.
In fact, the Eagles rallied for a 23-21 win on the final play of the game, despite several parts of what is usually a winning formula being in place for the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay didn’t turn the ball over once, for instance, and that feat has a very strong correlation with success. For instance, from December 23, 2001 to October 12, 2008, the Bucs won 20 straight games in which they did not commit a turnover.
The Bucs also ran for 136 yards and allowed only 29, were even in time of possession and third-down conversion rate and were able to rack up six sacks. By the “rules of football,” as Schiano put it – sort of a “laws of nature” concept – those are often numbers you see on a winning team’s side of the ledger. To be clear, however, Schiano was not saying that his team deserved to win simply because it did some things very well. Continue reading →